A new accuracy update. Once I got past issues related and too many smartplugs affecting connectivity of the Sense monitor, Sense data has been spot on accurate. If I get rid of the 60 (1.3%) or so worst points caused by the monitor issues, the unity line looks great.
Better yet, the error/residual histogram shows virtually all hours to be very close, with over 97% of the net metered hourly energy within +/- 50Wh.
Deviance Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.37026 -0.00436 0.00158 0.00800 0.35992 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) -0.0015896 0.0005094 -3.12 0.00182 ** Sense3$PGENet[keepers3] 1.0001519 0.0001215 8234.16 < 2e-16 ***
And if I look at the time period after the issue was resolved, I see even better - a couple of minor power outages affected the data, but everything else is linear.
And error/residual term tightens up tremendously.
Deviance Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.060682 -0.006075 -0.000292 0.005738 0.065980 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) -7.596e-04 3.021e-04 -2.514 0.012 * Sense3$PGENet[keepers3] 1.001e+00 6.778e-05 14770.513 <2e-16 ***