@eshapurov,
You should take a look at my experiment with my AC units in the link below. I compared my Ecobee data for my 2 units against my Sense AC detections over the course of this past summer. It took several months for Sense to separate my two compressors into different detections and for those detections to become extremely consistent.
If you understand correlation you’ll be able to see the monthly evolution for both my downstairs and upstairs units. Down_Cool represents the hourly runtimes of my downstairs compressor taken from my Ecobee. AC, AC2, and AC3 are the hourly power for the 3 native AC detections from Sense. Furnace_ Up and Furnace_Down are hourly power for my upstairs and downstairs furnace blowers, as measured by smart plugs. Bottom line is patience - it took half the summer for Sense to sort things out.
$`2019-04` Down_Cool AC NA AC2 NA AC3 NA FurnaceUp NA FurnaceDown NA $`2019-05` Down_Cool FurnaceDown 0.96457804 AC 0.40228237 FurnaceUp 0.38490212 AC2 -0.02461567 AC3 NA $`2019-06` Down_Cool FurnaceDown 0.9923947 FurnaceUp 0.6044697 AC 0.3183210 AC2 0.2872561 AC3 NA $`2019-07` Down_Cool FurnaceDown 0.98625399 AC3 0.56490245 FurnaceUp 0.51139072 AC2 0.32950875 AC 0.06935545 $`2019-08` Down_Cool FurnaceDown 0.9939775 AC3 0.7953435 FurnaceUp 0.6062248 AC2 0.1969622 AC 0.1884249 $`2019-09` Down_Cool FurnaceDown 0.99038421 AC3 0.95855777 FurnaceUp 0.56123100 AC2 0.55809594 AC -0.01585636
Up_Cool is the hourly Ecobee runtime data for my upstairs compressor.
$`2019-04` Up_Cool AC 0.9791817 FurnaceUp 0.9769824 FurnaceDown -0.1541840 AC2 NA AC3 NA $`2019-05` Up_Cool AC 0.99412114 FurnaceUp 0.97723727 FurnaceDown 0.14122794 AC2 -0.02226503 AC3 NA $`2019-06` Up_Cool FurnaceUp 0.9892451 AC 0.6702095 FurnaceDown 0.5909811 AC2 0.1680601 AC3 NA $`2019-07` Up_Cool FurnaceUp 0.9850746 AC3 0.5987115 FurnaceDown 0.5123134 AC2 0.3918143 AC 0.1948437 $`2019-08` Up_Cool FurnaceUp 0.9980361 FurnaceDown 0.6066122 AC3 0.5671459 AC2 0.4513146 AC 0.1011073 $`2019-09` Up_Cool FurnaceUp 0.9968743 AC2 0.9321167 FurnaceDown 0.5697145 AC3 0.5522579 AC 0.1669208
AC3 eventually lines up with my downstairs compressor and AC2 eventually does the same with my upstairs unit.
ps: I don’t know anyone who understands machine learning, that would have doubts about Sense using machine learning to do identification and classification of significant power transitions. I do believe that there are devices that have non-causal signatures - signatures that don’t give enough information about what’s happening, but that’s not an AI problem. That’s a lack of data issue and is best solved by smartplugs.