It’s a good start if Sense is “seeing” your transitions, but even if Sense “sees” a transition in the Power Meter, that doesn’t mean that it is ready to detect it as a device - the transitions must pass three other tests:
There have to be enough transitions that “match” so that Sense can actual determine that there is a cluster of similar transitions, under a range of house conditions. More on what clustering looks like later. You probably have enough detections after two years, but the other three criteria (below) might be the limiting issue.
There has to be a similar off-cluster because Sense can’t do a detection with our a matching off, and vice versa.
The transition has to be unique. If your device has both on and off transitions being tagged in the Power Meter, then Sense either doesn’t have enough repeats, or the on/off data doesn’t pass the uniqueness criteria - that would mean that it’s on and off signatures smear together with what seem to be other devices, or are so broad in variation that it might not be one device.
I also believe that the parametrics of the features of the “cluster” also have to match an existing Sense model. I get the feeling that some electronic devices either look vastly different for different ons and off, or that the cluster of feature are so far outside the normal physics-based clusters that Sense has to treat each cluster one as a special case.
For more on how this works, I have tried to outline my theories on Sense here. Feel free to comment, ask further questions or contribute more wisdom.
Just looking at the numbers in your limited 2 minutes with of data, it seems possible that the problem is there are too many things that look nearly the same and that all the transitions blur together, especially if the electronics driving them (I’m assuming the can lights are LED) kind of “flatten” all the other distinguishing features.
I’m an electrical engineer with some data science experience, so I knew what the Sense team was up against with their detection challenge. I’m not really disappointed, but I have changed my buying process for electrical stuff due to Sense. A couple years ago, I had the choice of a singe-stage, 2-stage or variable AC system replacement - I chose the most efficient single stage system for two reasons: 1) I knew the single stage was a more likely detection for Sense, and 2) the multi-stage/variable AC systems all required proprietary thermostats and I wanted to keep my Ecobees which are much more open about sharing operational data.
And just to be clear, the top level Always On with NOT lower, but the Always On “device” will offer a breakdown that includes the Always On data for all the devices on smartplugs, so the amount of your top-level Always On that is unknown will shrink. You’ll know some of the major components of your Always On as seen below.
I would not expect Sense to ever single out any device that pulls less than 150w unless you have it on a smart plug. It would be nice if it would, but if devices that pull that little power are big difference makers for you, then congratulations - that is a pretty nice place to be. Things like that are drops in the bucket of my electric use, so I’m just hoping my 40%+ “Other” can finally get lumped into the things like HVAC that are the big users.
I’ve had quite a few detection of devices under 150w, most of them are small heating/cooling type devices and do have an initial spike. Lights are quite hard for Sense to detect, especially in a busy home.
‘Other’ is usually a good thing, often more promising of an eventual detection than being lumped into ‘always on’.